Saturday, August 23, 2014

Annaly's Book Value Likely To Continue Increasing In The Third Quarter

  • Annaly just reported Q2 results, and it increased its book value by about 7.5% due to gains in agency-backed RMBSs.
  • Annaly reduced its hedging and slightly increased leverage in anticipation of strong agency-backed RMBS performance. The strength continues into Q3, which means the strategy should continue to benefit Annaly.
  • Annaly's valuation has underperformed government debt ETFs so far in Q3, despite being leveraged to the rates moving those ETFs up, indicating Annaly's equity needs to catch up.
Last week, Annaly Capital Management Inc. (NYSE:NLY) filed its report for the second quarter of 2014. Annaly reported core earnings of $300.4 million, or $0.30 per share, while book value increased to $13.23 per share from $12.30. This $0.93 book value increase is about 7.5 percent, or over three times the dividend Annaly paid out in the quarter. The mREIT is now priced at around a 13 percent discount to this stated book value at the end of the second quarter, with it appearing likely that book value increased further so far in the third quarter.

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